FC Twente Enschede — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.4% |
| 12 | 87.4% | |
| X2 | 21.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.1% / 1.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.4% / 9.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 75.5% / 24.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
FC Twente Enschede
6th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 home Telstar 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Groningen 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Cambuur 4:1
- 16.08.2026 home Zwolle 3:1
- 09.08.2026 away Heerenveen 0:1
ADO Den Haag
17th place · 1 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 16.08.2026 home Groningen 1:4
- 08.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:2
This season: FC Twente Enschede at home vs ADO Den Haag away
| Metric | FC Twente Enschede · at home | ADO Den Haag · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 0–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 2.33 |
| xG for per match | 2.37 | 0.68 |
| xG against per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.50 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 16.05.2021 FC Twente Enschede 3:2 ADO Den Haag
- 07.11.2020 ADO Den Haag 2:4 FC Twente Enschede
- 07.12.2019 ADO Den Haag 0:0 FC Twente Enschede
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Twente Enschede start this Eredivisie meeting with a clear advantage over ADO Den Haag. The available assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with high confidence in the home outcome. That gives FC Twente Enschede the more convincing overall profile, while ADO Den Haag face the task of containing a side expected to create the more effective attacking pressure.
The match is also projected to be high-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to score. That combination suggests an open contest rather than a tightly controlled game, with ADO Den Haag still carrying enough attacking potential to contribute despite the difference in strength. FC Twente Enschede should therefore be expected to take the initiative, while ADO Den Haag may look for opportunities in transition or during periods when the hosts commit players forward. The central reading remains a home advantage, with the scoring outlook adding some uncertainty to the margin rather than to the overall balance.
What matters before kick-off
Recent Match for FC Twente
FC Twente enter the match following a 1-0 victory over SC Telstar in a rearranged Eredivisie fixture on Wednesday, September 9, 2026.
Squad Availability for Both Teams
FC Twente have Kristian Hlynsson and Stav Lemkin ruled out with injuries, while ADO Den Haag are missing Cameron Peupion and Mylian Jiménez.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.