PEC Zwolle — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 32.7% |
| 12 | 82.9% | |
| X2 | 84.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.5% / 38.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.5% / 2.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.7% / 30.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.3% / 70.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.5% / 84.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
PEC Zwolle will host Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting that points toward an open and productive contest. The available assessment gives Feyenoord Rotterdam a clear strength advantage, although the moderate confidence suggests that the match should be approached with some caution rather than certainty. PEC Zwolle are still expected to contribute to the attacking flow, making goals at both ends a plausible feature.
The overall scoring outlook is high, with several projected scorelines indicating a competitive margin rather than a one-sided collapse. Feyenoord Rotterdam appear better placed to control the important phases and convert their superiority into chances, while PEC Zwolle may find opportunities if they can attack with sufficient purpose. A narrow away victory such as 1:2 is consistent with the balance of the assessment, though wider outcomes such as 0:2 or 1:3 are also within the expected range.
What matters before kick-off
Feyenoord's Champions League outing
Feyenoord head into this Eredivisie fixture following a 5-1 away loss against Barcelona in the opening match of the UEFA Champions League league phase.
Team availability news
PEC Zwolle list Ryan Thomas, Younes Namli, and Sherel Floranus as injured, while Feyenoord are missing Bart Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal, Jakub Moder, Thomas Beelen, and Jordan Bos.
Feyenoord's head-to-head streak
Feyenoord have maintained a dominant record against PEC Zwolle, winning each of their last 14 head-to-head encounters.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.