PEC Zwolle — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 33.9% |
| 12 | 82.6% | |
| X2 | 83.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.9% / 28.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.7% / 68.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.3% / 82.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
PEC Zwolle
13th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Nijmegen 1:3
- 22.08.2026 away Heerenveen 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Twente 1:3
- 09.08.2026 home Ajax 0:2
Feyenoord Rotterdam
6th place · 11 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
- 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
This season: PEC Zwolle at home vs Feyenoord Rotterdam away
| Metric | PEC Zwolle · at home | Feyenoord Rotterdam · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 3–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.29 | 2.48 |
| xG against per match | 1.76 | 1.01 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 PEC Zwolle 0:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 06.12.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 6:1 PEC Zwolle
- 25.04.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 4:0 PEC Zwolle
- 18.08.2024 PEC Zwolle 1:5 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 05.05.2024 Feyenoord Rotterdam 5:0 PEC Zwolle
- 08.10.2023 PEC Zwolle 0:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
PEC Zwolle face Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting where the visitors hold the clearer overall edge. The qualitative assessment points towards Feyenoord Rotterdam controlling more of the match, while the moderate confidence level suggests that this advantage should be treated with some caution rather than as a definitive outcome. PEC Zwolle are still expected to have opportunities, particularly if they can exploit spaces during transitions or make effective use of home advantage.
The match profile leans towards an open, high-scoring contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That creates a more competitive scenario than a purely one-sided encounter, even though Feyenoord Rotterdam remain the stronger side on the available information. PEC Zwolle may be able to contribute to the scoring, but Feyenoord Rotterdam appear better placed to create the greater volume and quality of chances. The main analytical signal therefore favours an away win, with the expected pattern pointing to a narrow or moderately comfortable Feyenoord Rotterdam success.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability news
PEC Zwolle are without injured players Ryan Thomas, Younes Namli, and Sherel Floranus. Feyenoord are missing Bart Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal, Jakub Moder, Thomas Beelen, and Jordan Bos.
Feyenoord head-to-head dominance
Feyenoord have defeated PEC Zwolle in each of their last 14 head-to-head meetings.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.