Match intelligence

SC Cambuur — FC Twente Enschede: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026

League: Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SC Cambuur1
:
4FC Twente Enschede
Locked signal W2 Probability 75.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 10.9% Home win SC Cambuur
X 13.6% Draw
W2 75.6% Away win FC Twente Enschede
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X289.1%
Both teams to score
Yes57.6%
Totals 2.5
Over72.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X24.4%
1286.4%
X289.1%
Both teams to scoreYes/No57.6% / 42.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 98.1% / 1.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 88.3% / 11.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 72.2% / 27.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 51.5% / 48.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 32.1% / 67.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 17.6% / 82.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SC Cambuur × FC Twente Enschede
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 1.9%
0:1 7.0%
0:2 9.1%
0:3 8.5%
0:4 5.9%
0:5 3.3%
1
1:0 2.7%
1:1 5.9%
1:2 8.8%
1:3 8.2%
1:4 5.7%
1:5 3.2%
2
2:0 1.1%
2:1 3.1%
2:2 4.3%
2:3 3.9%
2:4 2.7%
2:5 1.5%
3
3:0 0.4%
3:1 1.0%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.9%
3:5 0.5%
4
4:0 0.1%
4:1 0.2%
4:2 0.3%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.0%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:29.1%
1:28.8%
0:38.5%
1:38.2%
0:17.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026

SC Cambuur

18th place · 0 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.08.2026 home Feyenoord 2:5
  • 15.08.2026 away For Sittard 1:3
  • 07.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:4
  • 28.05.2023 home Waalwijk 4:0
  • 21.05.2023 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:4

FC Twente Enschede

12th place · 3 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 home Zwolle 3:1
  • 09.08.2026 away Heerenveen 0:1
  • 17.05.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
  • 10.05.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
  • 03.05.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 2:2

This season: SC Cambuur at home vs FC Twente Enschede away

Metric SC Cambuur · at home FC Twente Enschede · away
Matches21
W–D–L0–0–20–0–1
Goals scored per match1.000.00
Goals conceded per match4.501.00
xG for per match0.901.77
xG against per match2.720.39
Shots on target per match3.003.00
Corners per match4.008.00
Over 2.5 goals100%0%
Both teams scored50%0%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

SC Cambuur wins1
Draws0
FC Twente Enschede wins3
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored0/4
Over 2.5 goals1/4
  • 09.04.2023 FC Twente Enschede 4:0 SC Cambuur
  • 23.10.2022 SC Cambuur 0:1 FC Twente Enschede
  • 06.03.2022 FC Twente Enschede 1:0 SC Cambuur
  • 28.08.2021 SC Cambuur 2:0 FC Twente Enschede

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SC Cambuur face a difficult Eredivisie assignment against FC Twente Enschede. The available assessment gives FC Twente Enschede a clear advantage, with high confidence in the visitors’ overall strength. That points to an away-focused contest in which SC Cambuur may need to defend carefully and make the most of limited opportunities.

The match is also expected to have an open, high-scoring character rather than a tightly controlled rhythm. Even so, whether both teams score is viewed as finely balanced, so the main signal is the strength of FC Twente Enschede rather than a firm expectation about SC Cambuur finding the net. A result led by the visitors appears the most consistent reading of the available indicators, while the exact margin remains less certain.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

SC Cambuur's recent Eredivisie fixture

In their previous home Eredivisie match, SC Cambuur suffered a 2-5 defeat against Feyenoord.

Schedule

FC Twente's European campaign

Ahead of the league clash, FC Twente competed in the UEFA Conference League play-off round against Qarabag FK.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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