Feyenoord Rotterdam — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.3% |
| 12 | 88.7% | |
| X2 | 17.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 37.8% / 62.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam
4th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
- 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Zwolle 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:1
ADO Den Haag
17th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 16.08.2026 home Groningen 1:4
- 08.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:2
- 16.05.2021 away Twente 2:3
- 13.05.2021 home Willem II 1:4
This season: Feyenoord Rotterdam at home vs ADO Den Haag away
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam · at home | ADO Den Haag · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.89 | 0.90 |
| xG against per match | 1.51 | 1.76 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 1.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 02.05.2021 ADO Den Haag 3:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 27.09.2020 Feyenoord Rotterdam 4:2 ADO Den Haag
- 15.09.2019 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:2 ADO Den Haag
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Feyenoord Rotterdam enter this Eredivisie fixture as the clearly stronger side against ADO Den Haag. The qualitative assessment gives the hosts a high level of confidence, pointing to a match in which Feyenoord Rotterdam should control the main phases and create the more dangerous opportunities. ADO Den Haag face a demanding task, particularly if they are forced to defend for long periods.
The game is expected to have a high-scoring character, although whether both teams find the net remains evenly balanced. The most likely scorelines point toward a controlled Feyenoord Rotterdam victory, with a clean sheet featuring prominently among the leading scenarios. ADO Den Haag will need to stay compact and make efficient use of their limited attacking moments, while Feyenoord Rotterdam can look to press their advantage through sustained possession and pressure in the final third.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability and missing players
Feyenoord are without defenders Bart Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal, Thomas Beelen, and Jordan Bos, as well as midfielder Jakub Moder due to injury. ADO Den Haag are missing forward Cameron Peupion.
Recent league form
Feyenoord have claimed seven points from their opening three Eredivisie matches, including a 5-2 win over Cambuur. ADO Den Haag have lost their first three league games of the season against AZ, Groningen, and Go Ahead Eagles.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.