Feyenoord Rotterdam — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.3% |
| 12 | 88.7% | |
| X2 | 17.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 37.8% / 62.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Feyenoord Rotterdam enter this Eredivisie fixture as the clearly stronger side against ADO Den Haag. The qualitative assessment gives the hosts a high level of confidence, pointing to a match in which Feyenoord Rotterdam should control the main phases and create the more dangerous opportunities. ADO Den Haag face a demanding task, particularly if they are forced to defend for long periods.
The game is expected to have a high-scoring character, although whether both teams find the net remains evenly balanced. The most likely scorelines point toward a controlled Feyenoord Rotterdam victory, with a clean sheet featuring prominently among the leading scenarios. ADO Den Haag will need to stay compact and make efficient use of their limited attacking moments, while Feyenoord Rotterdam can look to press their advantage through sustained possession and pressure in the final third.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability and missing players
Feyenoord are without defenders Bart Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal, Thomas Beelen, and Jordan Bos, as well as midfielder Jakub Moder due to injury. ADO Den Haag are missing forward Cameron Peupion.
Recent league form
Feyenoord have claimed seven points from their opening three Eredivisie matches, including a 5-2 win over Cambuur. ADO Den Haag have lost their first three league games of the season against AZ, Groningen, and Go Ahead Eagles.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.