SC Braga — Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Win probabilities, 31.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.8% |
| 12 | 72.8% | |
| X2 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.3% / 8.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.1% / 24.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.08.2026
SC Braga
13th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Gil Vicente 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Moreirense 2:2
- 16.05.2026 home Estrela 2:2
- 11.05.2026 away Benfica 2:2
- 03.05.2026 home Estoril 1:1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
11th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Nacional 1:0
- 14.08.2026 away Sp Lisbon 2:3
- 08.08.2026 home Arouca 0:1
- 16.05.2026 away Nacional 0:2
- 11.05.2026 home Casa Pia 0:1
This season: SC Braga at home vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes away
| Metric | SC Braga · at home | Vitoria SC Guimaraes · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | — | 1.13 |
| xG against per match | — | 1.12 |
| Shots on target per match | — | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | — | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.02.2026 SC Braga 3:2 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- 20.09.2025 Vitoria SC Guimaraes 1:1 SC Braga
- 16.02.2025 Vitoria SC Guimaraes 0:0 SC Braga
- 15.09.2024 SC Braga 0:2 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
- 11.05.2024 Vitoria SC Guimaraes 2:3 SC Braga
- 06.01.2024 SC Braga 1:1 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Braga have a slight edge over Vitoria SC Guimaraes in this Liga Portugal meeting, with the home side favoured to control more of the match. The assessment carries a high level of confidence in that narrow advantage, although it does not point to a one-sided contest. Vitoria SC Guimaraes remain capable of keeping the game close, particularly if they manage to limit SC Braga’s control in possession and avoid conceding early.
The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a match with some attacking threat but not necessarily an open exchange from the start. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so the game could develop either into a cautious home win or a competitive draw. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 1-0 and 2-0, reflecting a relatively tight contest with SC Braga marginally better placed. The broader result signal favours SC Braga avoiding defeat.
What matters before kick-off
SC Braga Schedule
Less than four days before hosting Vitória SC, SC Braga played out a 0-0 draw away against Austria Vienna in UEFA Conference League qualifying.
Recent H2H Record
In the previous league matchup between the two sides at Estádio Municipal de Braga in February 2026, SC Braga secured a 3-2 victory over Vitória SC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.