FC Alverca SAD — Santa Clara Azores: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.9% |
| 12 | 69.0% | |
| X2 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.7% / 60.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.5% / 80.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.1% / 91.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
FC Alverca SAD
15th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Sp Lisbon 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Estrela 2:2
- 09.08.2026 away Porto 0:2
- 16.05.2026 away Famalicao 0:1
- 10.05.2026 home Estoril 1:1
Santa Clara Azores
5th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Famalicao 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Academico Viseu 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Nacional 2:2
- 16.05.2026 away Porto 0:1
- 11.05.2026 home Nacional 2:0
This season: FC Alverca SAD at home vs Santa Clara Azores away
| Metric | FC Alverca SAD · at home | Santa Clara Azores · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.75 | 1.26 |
| xG against per match | 1.29 | 0.69 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 21.02.2026 FC Alverca SAD 1:1 Santa Clara Azores
- 20.09.2025 Santa Clara Azores 2:1 FC Alverca SAD
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Alverca SAD and Santa Clara Azores appear evenly matched ahead of their Liga Portugal meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge in the 1X market, but confidence is moderate rather than strong, so the fixture looks finely balanced.
A low-scoring game is expected, with 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0 identified as the likeliest scorelines. Whether both teams score is also difficult to separate, making the match more dependent on small moments than on a clear superiority from either side.
What matters before kick-off
FC Alverca's recent result
In their previous Liga Portugal fixture, FC Alverca suffered a 3-1 road defeat against Sporting CP, with Lucas Figueiredo scoring their lone goal.
Santa Clara's recent result
Santa Clara enter the match following a 1-0 home victory over Famalicão, securing back-to-back victories in Liga Portugal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.