Academico de Viseu FC — FC Porto: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 24.1% |
| 12 | 83.9% | |
| X2 | 92.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.8% / 18.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Academico de Viseu FC
13th place · 2 pts after 3Last 3 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Maritimo 2:2
- 15.08.2026 home Santa Clara 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Benfica 2:2
FC Porto
2nd place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Arouca 2:0
- 15.08.2026 away Rio Ave 2:0
- 09.08.2026 home Alverca 2:0
- 16.05.2026 home Santa Clara 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away AVS 1:3
This season: Academico de Viseu FC at home vs FC Porto away
| Metric | Academico de Viseu FC · at home | FC Porto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.69 | 1.98 |
| xG against per match | 1.26 | 0.57 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Academico de Viseu FC face a difficult Liga Portugal assignment against FC Porto. The available assessment gives FC Porto a clear overall edge, with the visitors appearing stronger in the expected match outcome. The projected game is medium-scoring, suggesting a contest in which FC Porto’s attacking quality could have a significant influence without pointing to an exceptionally open match.
The possibility of both teams scoring is balanced, so Academico de Viseu FC may still have opportunities to contribute offensively. However, the main analytical signal favours FC Porto, and the likely score patterns all point towards an away victory, including 0:1, 0:2 and 0:3. That leaves Academico de Viseu FC needing an efficient performance in both defensive organisation and the limited chances they create.
What matters before kick-off
FC Porto's strong league start
FC Porto started their Liga Portugal title defense with three consecutive 2-0 victories against FC Alverca, Rio Ave, and Arouca, keeping clean sheets in all three matches.
Académico de Viseu's return to the top flight
Académico de Viseu returned to the Portuguese top flight after 37 years and earned a 2-2 draw away against Benfica in their opening match of the season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.