SC Braga — FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 96.2% |
| 12 | 89.0% | |
| X2 | 14.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.3% / 62.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.3% / 3.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.3% / 34.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.4% / 56.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SC Braga enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. The available assessment points toward an assertive performance from the hosts, particularly in attack, and the scoring outlook suggests that the match could produce several goals. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo are expected to face sustained pressure as they attempt to contain Braga’s greater strength.
The most consistent scenario is a controlled SC Braga victory in which FK Zeleznicar Pancevo struggle to find the net. A clean sheet for the home side is considered likely, while the projected scorelines of 2:0, 3:0 and 4:0 indicate a range from a comfortable win to a more emphatic result. The central expectation is therefore a high-scoring match led by SC Braga, with FK Zeleznicar Pancevo needing an especially disciplined defensive display to keep the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Result
SC Braga secured a 1–0 victory over FK Železničar Pančevo in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie on July 22, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.