FC Dinamo City — Aluminij Kidricevo: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.1% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Dinamo City welcome Aluminij Kidricevo in the UEFA Conference League qualifying round with a slight but credible advantage. The available assessment points towards a home-leaning contest, with FC Dinamo City better placed to control the match and limit the visitors’ opportunities. That edge is meaningful, although it does not suggest a one-sided encounter.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, with 1:0 and 2:0 among the plausible outcomes, while 1:1 also reflects the uncertainty around the game. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the match could develop into a controlled home performance or a more balanced exchange if Aluminij Kidricevo find a way to contribute in attack. Overall, the analytical signal favours FC Dinamo City avoiding defeat, with the hosts carrying the stronger platform but not an overwhelming advantage.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg draw
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie between NK Aluminij and FC Dinamo City on July 23, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.