FC Dinamo City — Aluminij Kidricevo: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.2% |
| 12 | 76.8% | |
| X2 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.9% / 85.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Dinamo City have a slight edge over Aluminij Kidricevo in this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie, but the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment places the hosts marginally ahead, with neither side separated strongly enough to support a firm prediction.
The game is expected to have a medium-scoring profile, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. That makes the match difficult to define tactically in advance: Dinamo City may have the stronger overall position, but Aluminij Kidricevo have a realistic opportunity to remain competitive if they handle the pressure of the away fixture well. A narrow home win and a draw both fit the cautious outlook, with the main signal favouring FC Dinamo City without suggesting a decisive gap between the teams.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.