FC Koper — NSI Runavik: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.7% |
| 12 | 80.8% | |
| X2 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.1% / 35.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.0% / 58.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.8% / 76.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Koper approach this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the stronger side, although the available assessment points to a moderate rather than overwhelming confidence. NSI Runavik will need to remain compact and disciplined, particularly if FC Koper can establish control of possession and create sustained pressure in the attacking areas. The home side’s advantage should be reflected in the overall balance of the match, but the tie may still require patience.
The scoring outlook is positive, with the game expected to offer several opportunities across both penalty areas. Whether both teams find the net is less clear, so NSI Runavik retain a plausible route to making the contest competitive if they respond effectively to pressure. The most consistent scoreline indications favour a home victory, with 2-0 and 2-1 among the leading possibilities, while 1-1 represents the main alternative if FC Koper fail to turn their territorial advantage into enough clear chances.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
FC Koper secured a 2-0 victory over Faroese side NSÍ Runavík in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.