HSK Zrinjski Mostar — Valur Reykjavik: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.3% |
| 12 | 87.6% | |
| X2 | 18.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.9% / 35.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
HSK Zrinjski Mostar enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side, with the available assessment giving them a high level of confidence. Valur Reykjavik face a demanding away assignment, while the hosts are expected to control much of the match through greater overall strength and sustained pressure. The outlook points toward an open game with several scoring opportunities, but the defensive balance still favours Zrinjski.
Valur Reykjavik will need to remain disciplined without the ball and make the most of their limited attacking moments. HSK Zrinjski Mostar appear better placed to dictate the tempo and create the more dangerous chances, while a clean sheet is considered likely. The central expectation is therefore a home victory, with the match profile combining strong support for the hosts with the possibility of a relatively productive evening in front of goal.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round on July 23, 2026, Icelandic side Valur secured a 1-0 win against Bosnian club Zrinjski Mostar.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.