KAA Gent — LNZ Cherkasy: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.6% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KAA Gent meet LNZ Cherkasy in the UEFA Conference League qualification round, with the match scheduled for 30 July 2026. The available assessment gives KAA Gent a clear advantage, although the confidence level is moderate rather than decisive. That suggests the hosts should control more of the contest and create the stronger overall platform, while LNZ Cherkasy will need to remain disciplined and make efficient use of their opportunities.
The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, pointing to a match that could produce several meaningful chances without necessarily becoming open from the start. The outlook on both teams finding the net is balanced, so there is no strong indication that either a clean sheet or goals at both ends should be assumed. KAA Gent therefore appear better placed, but the measured confidence leaves room for LNZ Cherkasy to keep the tie competitive, particularly if they limit the hosts’ control in the key areas.
What matters before kick-off
First leg score
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie between LNZ Cherkasy and KAA Gent on July 23, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.