FC CFR 1907 Cluj — FC Alashkert Yerevan: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.1% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.7% / 22.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.9% / 68.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC CFR 1907 Cluj hold a clear but not overwhelming edge over FC Alashkert Yerevan in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie. The available assessment points towards the hosts as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the match may remain competitive for long periods. The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring rather than an open contest, making control of the central areas and the value of the first goal particularly important.
FC Alashkert Yerevan still have a credible route into the game, especially if they can maintain their defensive shape and limit the hosts’ opportunities. The possibility of both teams scoring is evenly balanced, so the outcome may depend on which side handles the key moments more effectively. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow FC CFR 1907 Cluj victory, with a draw also remaining a realistic alternative.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg qualification result
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round between Armenian side FC Alashkert and Romanian club CFR Cluj on July 23, 2026, in Yerevan ended in a 1-1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.