Panathinaikos Athens — Paksi FC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.2% |
| 12 | 85.5% | |
| X2 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.8% / 14.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.4% / 33.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.6% / 55.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Panathinaikos Athens enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side against Paksi FC. The overall assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence advantage, suggesting that Panathinaikos should control more of the match and create the better opportunities. Paksi FC will need to remain disciplined without the ball and make efficient use of the chances that come their way, particularly if the home side establishes territorial control early.
The scoring outlook points towards an open game with several attacking moments rather than a tightly contained contest. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so Paksi FC retain a reasonable path to finding the net even though the balance strongly favours Panathinaikos Athens. The most plausible scorelines are 2-0, 3-0 and 2-1, all of which reflect the hosts’ greater strength while allowing for different levels of resistance from the visitors.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg qualification result
Panathinaikos secured a 2-1 away victory over Paksi FC in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.