Hibernian FC — KF Malisheva: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.9% |
| 12 | 86.6% | |
| X2 | 20.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.3% / 13.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Hibernian FC enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outlook. KF Malisheva face a demanding task, particularly if Hibernian FC can impose their attacking approach and control the match from the early stages. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring contest rather than a tightly balanced defensive encounter.
The expectation is for Hibernian FC to create the greater share of opportunities and remain the more likely team to dictate the outcome. KF Malisheva still have a plausible route to scoring, as the assessment of both teams finding the net is finely balanced, but their attacking contribution is less certain than the hosts'. Scorelines such as 2-0, 3-0 and 2-1 reflect the same overall picture: a strong home position, with the main question being whether KF Malisheva can turn their chances into a goal.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
KF Malisheva secured a -0 home victory against Hibernian in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.