SC Braga — FC Famalicao: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
54.8%
Home win
SC Braga
X
25.3%
Draw
W2
19.9%
Away win
FC Famalicao
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X80.1%
Both teams to score
No51.4%
Totals 2.5
Under52.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.1% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.0% / 27.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Goal distribution model
SC Braga × FC Famalicao
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.1%
0:1
6.5%
0:2
3.1%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
12.3%
1:1
12.0%
1:2
5.2%
1:3
1.6%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
1.3%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.9%
3:1
5.3%
3:2
2.4%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.4%
4:1
2.2%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
0.7%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:012.3%
1:112.0%
2:010.6%
2:19.6%
0:08.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
SC Braga
8th place · 12 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Nacional 0:1
- 19.10.2026 home Gil Vicente 1:2
- 09.10.2026 home Sp Lisbon 1:3
- 20.09.2026 away Santa Clara 0:0
- 14.09.2026 home Estoril 1:0
FC Famalicao
11th place · 10 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Rio Ave 4:0
- 12.10.2026 home Alverca 1:4
- 19.09.2026 away Nacional 4:0
- 13.09.2026 home Sp Lisbon 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Estrela 2:2
This season: SC Braga at home vs FC Famalicao away
| Metric | SC Braga · at home | FC Famalicao · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–2 | 2–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xG for per match | 1.37 | 1.49 |
| xG against per match | 0.86 | 1.07 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.25 | 4.40 |
| Corners per match | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
SC Braga wins2
Draws3
FC Famalicao wins1
Goals per match3.50
Both teams scored6/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 19.04.2026 SC Braga 2:2 FC Famalicao
- 06.12.2025 FC Famalicao 1:2 SC Braga
- 25.04.2025 FC Famalicao 1:1 SC Braga
- 16.12.2024 SC Braga 3:3 FC Famalicao
- 18.01.2024 FC Famalicao 1:2 SC Braga
- 11.08.2023 SC Braga 1:2 FC Famalicao
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W2 | was 4.80 → now 4.50 |
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