Academico de Viseu FC — Rio Ave FC: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
51.6%
Home win
Academico de Viseu FC
X
25.2%
Draw
W2
23.2%
Away win
Rio Ave FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X76.8%
Both teams to score
Yes54.3%
Totals 2.5
Over52.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.8% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.0% / 23.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Goal distribution model
Academico de Viseu FC × Rio Ave FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.9%
0:1
6.1%
0:2
3.6%
0:3
1.3%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
10.0%
1:1
12.0%
1:2
6.1%
1:3
2.2%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.1%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
1.8%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.2%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
2.3%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.7%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.0%
1:010.0%
2:19.7%
2:09.1%
0:06.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Academico de Viseu FC
6th place · 17 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Sp Lisbon 2:1
- 10.10.2026 home Estoril 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Estrela 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Guimaraes 2:1
- 06.09.2026 away Gil Vicente 1:0
Rio Ave FC
17th place · 7 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Famalicao 0:4
- 11.10.2026 home Nacional 3:2
- 19.09.2026 away Alverca 0:1
- 14.09.2026 home Estrela 3:3
- 06.09.2026 away Santa Clara 0:4
This season: Academico de Viseu FC at home vs Rio Ave FC away
| Metric | Academico de Viseu FC · at home | Rio Ave FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–2 | 1–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.01 | 0.41 |
| xG against per match | 1.55 | 1.95 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Corners per match | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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