SC Braga — FC Dinamo Minsk: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 96.9% |
| 12 | 88.2% | |
| X2 | 15.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.5% / 21.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SC Braga go into this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. The available assessment points toward a match in which SC Braga should control the overall direction, while FC Dinamo Minsk may have to spend long periods defending without the ball. The home side's stronger rating gives them the advantage in both territory and attacking pressure.
The scoring outlook is also positive, suggesting a match with several opportunities for SC Braga to build a convincing margin. At the same time, the expectation of a clean sheet indicates that FC Dinamo Minsk could struggle to turn their possession or counterattacking moments into goals. Scorelines such as 2-0, 3-0 or 4-0 fit the overall profile, although the exact margin will depend on how efficiently SC Braga convert their chances.
What matters before kick-off
Previous qualification results
In the second qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League, SC Braga defeated Serbian side Zeleznicar Pancevo 5-0 on aggregate (including a 4-0 second-leg win). FC Dinamo Minsk reached the third round by overcoming Azerbaijan's Neftci Baku 4-3 across two legs.
Braga's home European record
SC Braga have won eight of their last 10 European home matches inside 90 minutes, scoring 11 goals and conceding only once across their three most recent continental home qualifiers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.