Hapoel Tel Aviv FC — GKS Katowice: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.9% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.4% / 73.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC have a slight edge over GKS Katowice in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the moderate confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear home advantage. The hosts may be expected to take a more proactive approach, with home conditions offering some support, but GKS Katowice should remain competitive and capable of creating problems.
The overall outlook suggests a medium-scoring game. There is no clear indication that both teams will score, making that aspect finely balanced. A narrow home win and a draw appear to be the most credible directions, while GKS Katowice remain within reach of a positive result. The 1X signal reflects this balance: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC are marginally better placed, but the match could remain open until the final stages.
What matters before kick-off
UEFA Conference League qualifying fixture
The first leg of the 2026/27 UEFA Conference League third qualifying round between Hapoel Tel Aviv FC and GKS Katowice takes place on 6 August 2026 at DVTK Stadium (Diósgyőri Stadion) in Miskolc, Hungary.
Return leg in Katowice
The second leg of the third qualifying round tie between GKS Katowice and Hapoel Tel Aviv FC is scheduled for 12 August 2026 at Arena Katowice in Poland.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.