FC Twente Enschede — DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.9% |
| 12 | 89.7% | |
| X2 | 16.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.6% / 2.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Twente Enschede hold a clear advantage over DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda in this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie. The available assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with high confidence behind that view. The match is also expected to have an open scoring profile, suggesting that FC Twente Enschede should approach the game with an attacking mindset rather than relying solely on control and caution.
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda still have a route into the contest, particularly if they can limit the hosts’ early momentum and keep the structure of the game compact. However, the outlook favours FC Twente Enschede, while the possibility of both teams scoring remains balanced rather than clearly supported or rejected. The most consistent scenario is a home victory, with a controlled win among the plausible outcomes.
What matters before kick-off
FC Twente dropped into the Conference League from the Europa League
FC Twente entered the Conference League third qualifying round after being eliminated from the Europa League by Hungarian side Ferencváros 4-3 on aggregate (1-2 at home, 2-2 away).
DAC 1904 reached the third qualifying round
Slovak side DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda reached the Conference League third qualifying round after defeating Bosnian club Velež Mostar 4-0 on aggregate (1-0 at home, 3-0 away).
FC Twente head coach pre-match comments
FC Twente head coach John van den Brom emphasized that his team needs to better adapt to European football rules and act smarter following their exit from the Europa League.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.