Match intelligence

FK Borac Banja Luka — Maxline Vitebsk: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
FK Borac Banja Luka1
:
0Maxline Vitebsk
Locked signal 1X Probability 80.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 54.1% Home win FK Borac Banja Luka
X 26.1% Draw
W2 19.9% Away win Maxline Vitebsk
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X81.6%
Both teams to score
Yes50.2%
Totals 2.5
Under50.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X81.6%
1274.7%
X243.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.2% / 49.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.1% / 7.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.2% / 24.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 49.6% / 50.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 27.6% / 72.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.1% / 86.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.3% / 94.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

FK Borac Banja Luka × Maxline Vitebsk
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.9%
0:1 5.5%
0:2 2.9%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 11.4%
1:1 12.0%
1:2 5.1%
1:3 1.5%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.7%
2:1 9.7%
2:2 4.4%
2:3 1.3%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.3%
3:1 5.7%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.7%
4:1 2.5%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.0%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.0%
1:011.4%
2:010.7%
2:19.7%
0:07.9%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

FK Borac Banja Luka have a slight edge over Maxline Vitebsk in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment gives the hosts the stronger position, but the margin is limited and the match may turn on small details, particularly in how each side manages its attacking phases and defensive transitions.

The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with opportunities without pointing toward an unusually open encounter. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, so neither side has a decisive advantage in that area. FK Borac Banja Luka may be expected to take more initiative at home, while Maxline Vitebsk remain capable of keeping the contest competitive. Overall, the hosts hold a narrow analytical edge, but the range of plausible match patterns remains broad.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Maxline Vitebsk 2nd qualifying round results

Maxline Vitebsk reached the UEFA Conference League 3rd qualifying round after defeating Montenegrin side Sutjeska 5-1 on aggregate (3-0 at home and 2-1 away on July 30, 2026).

Schedule

Borac Banja Luka draw with Petrocub

Borac Banja Luka's previous UEFA Conference League match against Moldovan club Petrocub ended in a 3-3 draw on July 30, 2026.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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