SC Braga — Estoril Praia: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 90.8% |
| 12 | 80.5% | |
| X2 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.4% / 17.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.0% / 63.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.8% / 80.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.2% / 90.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
SC Braga
7th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.09.2026 away Estrela 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away Alverca 2:1
- 31.08.2026 home Guimaraes 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Gil Vicente 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Moreirense 2:2
Estoril Praia
17th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.09.2026 home Arouca 0:0
- 31.08.2026 away Benfica 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Rio Ave 0:2
- 16.08.2026 away Nacional 0:2
- 07.08.2026 home Famalicao 1:1
This season: SC Braga at home vs Estoril Praia away
| Metric | SC Braga · at home | Estoril Praia · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| xG against per match | 0.23 | 2.06 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 SC Braga 1:1 Estoril Praia
- 19.12.2025 Estoril Praia 1:0 SC Braga
- 19.04.2025 Estoril Praia 0:2 SC Braga
- 06.12.2024 SC Braga 2:2 Estoril Praia
- 13.04.2024 Estoril Praia 0:1 SC Braga
- 03.12.2023 SC Braga 3:1 Estoril Praia
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SC Braga host Estoril Praia in Liga Portugal with the available assessment pointing to a clear advantage for the home side, although confidence in that view is moderate. The overall expectation is for a medium-scoring match, suggesting that the game may have a measured rhythm rather than becoming an open exchange from the outset.
SC Braga appear better positioned to control the contest, particularly if they can establish pressure and limit Estoril Praia’s opportunities to respond. The outlook for both teams to score is balanced, so Estoril Praia remain capable of contributing to the match, but there is no strong indication that both sides will find the net. The most plausible scorelines are 2-0, 3-0, and 1-0, all of which reflect a home victory with SC Braga keeping the visitors’ attacking output under control.
What matters before kick-off
SC Braga return to home action
The matchday 6 fixture in Liga Portugal closes out the round, with SC Braga hosting Estoril Praia at the Estádio Municipal de Braga following their first league defeat in the previous game.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.