FC Arouca — Santa Clara Azores: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.3% |
| 12 | 69.5% | |
| X2 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.2% / 9.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.3% / 88.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
FC Arouca
5th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.09.2026 away Estoril 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Maritimo 2:1
- 23.08.2026 away Porto 0:2
- 16.08.2026 home Moreirense 4:0
- 08.08.2026 away Guimaraes 1:0
Santa Clara Azores
4th place · 11 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Rio Ave 4:0
- 29.08.2026 away Alverca 1:1
- 23.08.2026 home Famalicao 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Academico Viseu 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Nacional 2:2
This season: FC Arouca at home vs Santa Clara Azores away
| Metric | FC Arouca · at home | Santa Clara Azores · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.90 | 1.34 |
| xG against per match | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.50 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 FC Arouca 2:2 Santa Clara Azores
- 21.12.2025 Santa Clara Azores 0:0 FC Arouca
- 26.04.2025 Santa Clara Azores 2:0 FC Arouca
- 15.12.2024 FC Arouca 1:0 Santa Clara Azores
- 11.02.2023 FC Arouca 1:0 Santa Clara Azores
- 20.08.2022 Santa Clara Azores 1:2 FC Arouca
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Arouca and Santa Clara Azores meet in Liga Portugal in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts and visitors a similar overall outlook, with no clear superiority for either side. That makes the balance of the game difficult to separate, while the 1X signal points towards FC Arouca avoiding defeat rather than a strong expectation of a home win.
The match is projected to sit in a medium-scoring range, although the possibility of both teams finding the net remains uncertain. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0, reflecting a game where margins could be narrow and defensive discipline may be important. With moderate confidence in the assessment, the central expectation is a competitive encounter, with the draw a prominent possibility and only a slight edge towards FC Arouca in the result protection market.
What matters before kick-off
Arouca's home record
FC Arouca has never lost a home match against Santa Clara, recording six wins and two draws in eight home encounters.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.