FC Famalicao — Sporting CP: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 31.4% |
| 12 | 80.1% | |
| X2 | 88.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.2% / 19.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.4% / 65.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.9% / 82.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
FC Famalicao
15th place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Estrela 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Gil Vicente 0:0
- 23.08.2026 away Santa Clara 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home Maritimo 1:2
- 07.08.2026 away Estoril 1:1
Sporting CP
3rd place · 13 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Nacional 2:0
- 28.08.2026 away Rio Ave 4:0
- 22.08.2026 home Alverca 3:1
- 14.08.2026 home Guimaraes 3:2
- 08.08.2026 away Estrela 2:2
This season: FC Famalicao at home vs Sporting CP away
| Metric | FC Famalicao · at home | Sporting CP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.41 | 2.14 |
| xG against per match | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.50 | 7.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Sporting CP 1:0 FC Famalicao
- 13.09.2025 FC Famalicao 1:2 Sporting CP
- 15.03.2025 Sporting CP 3:1 FC Famalicao
- 26.10.2024 FC Famalicao 0:3 Sporting CP
- 16.04.2024 FC Famalicao 0:1 Sporting CP
- 27.08.2023 Sporting CP 1:0 FC Famalicao
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Famalicao face Sporting CP in a Liga Portugal meeting where the visitors hold the clearer overall edge. The assessment points to Sporting CP as the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests this should be viewed as a measured advantage rather than a decisive one. FC Famalicao will need to limit Sporting CP’s control and make the most of their opportunities if they are to alter the expected balance.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with Sporting CP more likely to shape the game and create the better platform for a positive result. However, the possibility of both teams scoring remains finely balanced, so the contest may depend on how effectively FC Famalicao respond when they regain possession. The most plausible scenarios favour a Sporting CP win, while a narrow result or a draw also remain credible outcomes.
What matters before kick-off
Sporting CP Champions League fixture
Sporting CP enter the Primeira Liga match against FC Famalicão following a 3-1 home win against Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League earlier in the week.
Head-to-head winning streak
Sporting CP have won each of their last nine head-to-head encounters against FC Famalicão.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.