FC Famalicao — Sporting CP: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 36.7% |
| 12 | 77.9% | |
| X2 | 85.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.1% / 64.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.3% / 81.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.3% / 91.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Famalicao host Sporting CP in Liga Portugal on 13 September 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 UTC. The available assessment gives Sporting CP a clear edge, although the confidence level is moderate rather than decisive. That points to a match in which the visitors are better positioned, while FC Famalicao still have a realistic opportunity to make the contest competitive.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring, with possible scorelines including a Sporting CP win by one or two goals, as well as a draw. The assessment of both teams scoring is balanced, so it is difficult to establish a firm expectation on that specific aspect of the match. Overall, Sporting CP appear more likely to control the key phases and create the stronger route to victory, but the moderate confidence suggests that the result is not without uncertainty. FC Famalicao will need to remain disciplined and efficient if they are to offset the visitors' advantage.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.