Academico de Viseu FC — Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.2% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 75.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.4% / 74.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Academico de Viseu FC
10th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Gil Vicente 1:0
- 29.08.2026 home Porto 0:3
- 22.08.2026 away Maritimo 2:2
- 15.08.2026 home Santa Clara 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Benfica 2:2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
12th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Casa Pia 0:0
- 31.08.2026 away Sp Braga 0:1
- 23.08.2026 home Nacional 1:0
- 14.08.2026 away Sp Lisbon 2:3
- 08.08.2026 home Arouca 0:1
This season: Academico de Viseu FC at home vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes away
| Metric | Academico de Viseu FC · at home | Vitoria SC Guimaraes · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| xG against per match | 1.37 | 0.98 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Academico de Viseu FC face Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal on 12 September 2026. The assessment gives Vitoria SC Guimaraes a slight edge, with a high level of confidence in that directional view. This points to the visitors being the stronger side overall, although the advantage is not described as decisive. Academico de Viseu FC should remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match balanced and prevent Vitoria SC Guimaraes from controlling the key phases.
The expected profile is medium-scoring rather than an open goal-filled contest. Both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced, so there is no clear indication that either side will necessarily keep a clean sheet. The most plausible scenarios include a draw or a narrow victory for Vitoria SC Guimaraes, which supports a cautious view of the result. Academico de Viseu FC have enough potential to make the contest close, but the overall signal favours Vitoria SC Guimaraes avoiding defeat.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Results
Academico de Viseu enter the match following a 1-0 away victory against Gil Vicente. Vitoria SC Guimaraes drew 0-0 at home against Casa Pia in their previous league fixture.
Search for Home and Away First Wins
Academico de Viseu are looking to secure their first home league victory of the season. Vitoria SC Guimaraes are aiming for their first away win of the league campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.