Santa Clara Azores — SC Braga: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.7% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 72.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.9% / 59.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.5% / 79.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Santa Clara Azores face SC Braga in a Liga Portugal meeting that looks closely contested, although the overall assessment gives SC Braga a slight edge. The confidence in that view is high, suggesting the visitors have the stronger position in the matchup without making the outcome certain. The X2 signal also points towards SC Braga avoiding defeat, with a draw remaining a realistic possibility.
The game is expected to produce a moderate number of goals rather than develop into a highly open contest. Both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced, so there is no clear indication that either side will definitely find the net. The most plausible scorelines reflect that uncertainty: 1:1 combines the competitive nature of the fixture with the expectation of goals, while 0:1 would support the visitors' narrow advantage. A goalless draw is also among the likely scenarios, underlining the possibility of a cautious match.
What matters before kick-off
Sorriso suspended
Santa Clara forward Sorriso is suspended for the match against SC Braga following a red card in their previous fixture against Arouca.
Santa Clara's previous result
Santa Clara head into the match against SC Braga following a 2-1 away victory over Arouca in Liga Portugal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.