Santa Clara Azores — FC Famalicao: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.9% |
| 12 | 66.6% | |
| X2 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.7% / 54.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.5% / 13.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 65.7% / 34.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.4% / 82.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.3% / 97.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Santa Clara Azores
7th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Academico Viseu 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Nacional 2:2
- 16.05.2026 away Porto 0:1
- 11.05.2026 home Nacional 2:0
- 02.05.2026 away Arouca 2:2
FC Famalicao
13th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Maritimo 1:2
- 07.08.2026 away Estoril 1:1
- 16.05.2026 home Alverca 1:0
- 11.05.2026 away Estrela 0:0
- 02.05.2026 home Benfica 2:2
This season: Santa Clara Azores at home vs FC Famalicao away
| Metric | Santa Clara Azores · at home | FC Famalicao · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.44 | 1.47 |
| xG against per match | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.01.2026 Santa Clara Azores 0:1 FC Famalicao
- 10.08.2025 FC Famalicao 3:0 Santa Clara Azores
- 10.05.2025 Santa Clara Azores 2:1 FC Famalicao
- 30.12.2024 FC Famalicao 1:2 Santa Clara Azores
- 19.02.2023 Santa Clara Azores 1:3 FC Famalicao
- 28.08.2022 FC Famalicao 1:0 Santa Clara Azores
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Santa Clara Azores and FC Famalicao appear evenly matched ahead of their Liga Portugal meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, especially if both teams maintain a disciplined defensive structure.
The match is projected to be low-scoring, making control of midfield areas and the quality of limited attacking opportunities particularly important. A draw is a credible outcome, while FC Famalicao may have a slight edge if the game remains close and is decided late. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the match could develop into a cautious encounter with limited clear chances. Santa Clara Azores will look to use home advantage to impose greater pressure, while FC Famalicao can focus on staying compact and exploiting spaces in transition.
What matters before kick-off
Head coaches on the upcoming match
Santa Clara head coach Petit noted his team's progress following a 1–0 win against Académico de Viseu. FC Famalicão head coach Carlos Carvalhal stated his side aims for three points in the Azores after starting the campaign with a 1–1 draw against Estoril and a 2–1 loss to Marítimo.
Liga Portugal matchday 3 fixture
The Liga Portugal matchday 3 fixture between Santa Clara and FC Famalicão was hosted at Estádio de São Miguel in Ponta Delgada, with Iancu Vasilica appointed as match referee.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.