Santa Clara Azores — Rio Ave FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.1% |
| 12 | 71.3% | |
| X2 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.4% / 28.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Santa Clara Azores
7th place · 8 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Alverca 1:1
- 23.08.2026 home Famalicao 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Academico Viseu 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Nacional 2:2
- 16.05.2026 away Porto 0:1
Rio Ave FC
14th place · 3 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home Sp Lisbon 0:4
- 22.08.2026 away Estoril 2:0
- 15.08.2026 home Porto 0:2
- 09.08.2026 away Gil Vicente 0:1
- 16.05.2026 away Casa Pia 1:1
This season: Santa Clara Azores at home vs Rio Ave FC away
| Metric | Santa Clara Azores · at home | Rio Ave FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.40 | 0.51 |
| xG against per match | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 11.04.2026 Santa Clara Azores 0:2 Rio Ave FC
- 30.11.2025 Rio Ave FC 1:1 Santa Clara Azores
- 18.04.2025 Rio Ave FC 1:1 Santa Clara Azores
- 07.12.2024 Santa Clara Azores 1:0 Rio Ave FC
- 17.03.2023 Santa Clara Azores 0:2 Rio Ave FC
- 02.10.2022 Rio Ave FC 1:0 Santa Clara Azores
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Santa Clara Azores have a slight edge over Rio Ave FC in this Liga Portugal meeting, with high confidence in that assessment. The outlook points to a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, as the available signal favors the hosts while still leaving room for a draw. The 1X market indication supports Santa Clara Azores avoiding defeat, but it does not remove the possibility of Rio Ave FC taking control in key phases.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring viewed as a balanced possibility. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0, and 0:0, which reflects a match that could remain close and tactically contained. Santa Clara Azores may have the stronger overall position, but Rio Ave FC remain capable of keeping the contest level, particularly if the opening stages produce few clear chances.
What matters before kick-off
Unbeaten league start for Santa Clara
Santa Clara enter the match unbeaten in their first four Liga Portugal games of the 2026-27 season with two wins and two draws. Meanwhile, Rio Ave collected three points over the same opening period.
Recent league results
Ahead of this clash, Santa Clara recorded a 1-1 away draw against Alverca, while Rio Ave suffered a 4-0 home defeat to Sporting CP.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.