Gil Vicente Barcelos — Academico de Viseu FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.8% |
| 12 | 67.5% | |
| X2 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.6% / 12.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.6% / 31.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.8% / 60.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.1% / 91.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Gil Vicente Barcelos
5th place · 8 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Famalicao 0:0
- 24.08.2026 home Casa Pia 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Sp Braga 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Rio Ave 1:0
- 16.05.2026 away Sp Lisbon 0:3
Academico de Viseu FC
15th place · 2 pts after 4Last 4 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Porto 0:3
- 22.08.2026 away Maritimo 2:2
- 15.08.2026 home Santa Clara 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Benfica 2:2
This season: Gil Vicente Barcelos at home vs Academico de Viseu FC away
| Metric | Gil Vicente Barcelos · at home | Academico de Viseu FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| xG against per match | 0.53 | 2.20 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gil Vicente Barcelos have a slight edge over Academico de Viseu FC, with the overall outlook pointing towards a cautious Liga Portugal contest. The available assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence advantage, but not one that removes the possibility of a draw. The 1X signal supports a result that avoids an away victory.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, so defensive organisation and the ability to make limited chances count may be decisive. Both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced, leaving several plausible paths through the game. A 1:1 draw and a goalless outcome are among the likely scorelines, while a narrow 1:0 win for Gil Vicente Barcelos also fits the assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Team form ahead of the round 5 fixture
Gil Vicente entered matchday 5 unbeaten with two wins and a draw from three league games. Meanwhile, Académico de Viseu was still seeking its first victory of the season, having logged two draws and two losses in four matches.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.