San Diego FC — Los Angeles Galaxy: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.1% |
| 12 | 78.9% | |
| X2 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.8% / 30.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.4% / 70.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.6% / 84.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Colorado Rapids 3:0
- 20.08.2026 away Portland Timbers 1:3
- 16.08.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 02.08.2026 away Minnesota United 1:1
- 26.07.2026 home FC Dallas 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
- 20.08.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:0
- 16.08.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home FC Dallas 0:0
- 26.07.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
This season: San Diego FC at home vs Los Angeles Galaxy away
| Metric | San Diego FC · at home | Los Angeles Galaxy · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–3 | 3–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.45 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 82% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 24.05.2025 San Diego FC 2:1 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24.02.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 0:2 San Diego FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
San Diego FC have a slight edge over Los Angeles Galaxy, although the moderate confidence level points to a contest with limited separation between the sides. The home advantage may be important, but Los Angeles Galaxy remain capable of creating enough opportunities to keep the match competitive.
The outlook is for an open, high-scoring encounter in which both teams are likely to score. That makes a narrow San Diego FC win a plausible direction, but a draw also fits the profile of a closely balanced match. The key feature is expected attacking involvement from both San Diego FC and Los Angeles Galaxy rather than a controlled, low-scoring game.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head record
This match marks only the third all-time meeting between San Diego FC and the LA Galaxy. San Diego FC won both previous encounters, including a 2-1 home victory at Snapdragon Stadium in May 2025.
Recent results
San Diego FC enter the match following a 3-0 home victory against Colorado Rapids. Meanwhile, the LA Galaxy recorded a 2-2 away draw against CF Montreal in their previous outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.