Colorado Rapids — Real Salt Lake: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.1% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away San Diego FC 0:3
- 20.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:0
- 26.07.2026 away St. Louis City 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Orlando City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 home FC Dallas 3:4
- 16.08.2026 home Minnesota United 1:1
- 02.08.2026 away St. Louis City 1:1
- 26.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 1:2
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Real Salt Lake away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Real Salt Lake · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–0–3 | 1–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 90% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Real Salt Lake 2:1 Colorado Rapids
- 05.10.2025 Real Salt Lake 1:0 Colorado Rapids
- 18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Real Salt Lake
- 21.07.2024 Colorado Rapids 3:2 Real Salt Lake
- 19.05.2024 Real Salt Lake 5:3 Colorado Rapids
- 10.03.2024 Real Salt Lake 1:2 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids have a slight but credible edge over Real Salt Lake in this MLS meeting. The assessment points toward a high-scoring contest, with the hosts better positioned to control the outcome while still facing a meaningful threat from the visitors. That makes the home side the more attractive result angle, but the matchup does not appear one-sided.
Both teams are likely to score, so Real Salt Lake should remain involved even if Colorado Rapids create the stronger overall impression. The projected scorelines include a draw as well as narrow home victories, reflecting a game that could stay competitive deep into the match. A cautious reading therefore favors Colorado Rapids with draw protection, while expecting open play and several attacking opportunities at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Rocky Mountain Cup decider
The match between Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake serves as the deciding leg for the 2026 Rocky Mountain Cup. Real Salt Lake won the first meeting of the season 2-1 in May.
Real Salt Lake's Leagues Cup exit
Real Salt Lake enter the match following a 3-0 defeat to Liga MX side Club León in the Leagues Cup quarterfinals on Tuesday.
Colorado Rapids availability update
According to the official MLS status report, Colorado Rapids midfielder Billo Diop is ruled out for the match due to a knee injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.