San Diego FC — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Result
We predicted: BTTS · Verdict: Miss
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.7% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
San Diego FC and FC Dallas appear evenly matched heading into this MLS meeting, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence in this assessment suggests a contest where small details, game management and the ability to respond to pressure could be decisive. San Diego FC will have the benefit of playing at home, while FC Dallas will look to impose its own rhythm and avoid allowing the hosts to build sustained momentum.
The available indicators point toward an open match with chances at both ends. Both teams are likely to score, making defensive discipline important but not necessarily enough to keep the game closed. The high-scoring outlook favors an entertaining encounter in which the balance may shift more than once. A draw is a plausible interpretation of the teams’ similar standing, although either San Diego FC or FC Dallas could gain the advantage if it converts its opportunities more efficiently.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.