San Diego FC — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.7% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 24.05.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 2:4
- 17.05.2026 home FC Cincinnati 3:3
- 14.05.2026 home Austin FC 5:0
- 10.05.2026 away Seattle Sounders 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Colorado Rapids 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 3:2
- 14.05.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 2:3
- 10.05.2026 home Real Salt Lake 3:1
This season: San Diego FC at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | San Diego FC · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–3 | 4–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.56 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 57% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 15.03.2026 FC Dallas 3:3 San Diego FC
- 29.06.2025 FC Dallas 2:3 San Diego FC
- 04.05.2025 San Diego FC 5:0 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
San Diego FC and FC Dallas appear evenly matched heading into this MLS meeting, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence in this assessment suggests a contest where small details, game management and the ability to respond to pressure could be decisive. San Diego FC will have the benefit of playing at home, while FC Dallas will look to impose its own rhythm and avoid allowing the hosts to build sustained momentum.
The available indicators point toward an open match with chances at both ends. Both teams are likely to score, making defensive discipline important but not necessarily enough to keep the game closed. The high-scoring outlook favors an entertaining encounter in which the balance may shift more than once. A draw is a plausible interpretation of the teams’ similar standing, although either San Diego FC or FC Dallas could gain the advantage if it converts its opportunities more efficiently.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.