Saint Louis City SC — Colorado Rapids: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.2% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.6% / 67.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.5% / 83.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 3:1
- 17.07.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 3:2
- 23.05.2026 home Austin FC 3:0
- 17.05.2026 away DC United 1:1
- 14.05.2026 home Los Angeles FC 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home San Diego FC 1:0
- 24.05.2026 home FC Dallas 1:2
- 17.05.2026 away Real Salt Lake 1:2
- 14.05.2026 away Minnesota United 1:0
- 10.05.2026 home St. Louis City 0:1
This season: Saint Louis City SC at home vs Colorado Rapids away
| Metric | Saint Louis City SC · at home | Colorado Rapids · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–1–2 | 2–1–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 56% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 Colorado Rapids 0:1 Saint Louis City SC
- 25.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Saint Louis City SC
- 23.02.2025 Saint Louis City SC 0:0 Colorado Rapids
- 08.07.2024 Colorado Rapids 4:1 Saint Louis City SC
- 20.06.2024 Saint Louis City SC 0:3 Colorado Rapids
- 02.07.2023 Saint Louis City SC 2:0 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Saint Louis City SC host Colorado Rapids in an MLS meeting where the home side holds a slight but credible edge. The overall outlook points to a medium-scoring match, with Saint Louis City SC having enough advantage at home to make them the more likely team to control the contest. Colorado Rapids remain capable of competing closely, so the balance is not expected to be heavily one-sided.
The scoring picture is less clear. Both teams scoring is effectively a coin flip, which leaves several plausible match patterns: a tight Saint Louis City SC win, a narrow home victory with Colorado Rapids finding the net, or a level contest. The most representative scorelines are 1-1, 2-1, and 1-0. With the home side favoured but the margin limited, the 1X outlook fits a match in which Saint Louis City SC are better positioned to avoid defeat than Colorado Rapids.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.