Minnesota United FC — Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.0% |
| 12 | 76.3% | |
| X2 | 71.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.6% / 15.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 1:2
- 23.05.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away New England Revolution 1:2
- 14.05.2026 home Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 11.05.2026 home Austin FC 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:4
- 24.05.2026 away San Diego FC 4:2
- 17.05.2026 away Houston Dynamo 0:1
- 14.05.2026 away FC Dallas 3:2
- 10.05.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
This season: Minnesota United FC at home vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC away
| Metric | Minnesota United FC · at home | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–2 | 3–2–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.86 | 2.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 86% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.03.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 6:0 Minnesota United FC
- 29.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:0 Minnesota United FC
- 27.04.2025 Minnesota United FC 1:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 06.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0:1 Minnesota United FC
- 04.07.2024 Minnesota United FC 1:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 07.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:2 Minnesota United FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Minnesota United FC host Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS meeting that points toward an open and competitive contest. The assessment gives Vancouver Whitecaps FC a slight edge, although the moderate confidence suggests that the difference between the teams is not decisive. Minnesota United FC should still have a realistic route into the match, particularly if they can take advantage of home conditions and maintain pressure in the attacking phases.
The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the balance more difficult to predict than a straightforward away selection, as Minnesota United FC have the potential to keep the contest close even if Vancouver Whitecaps FC appear marginally better positioned overall. A draw remains a credible outcome, while a narrow Vancouver victory is also consistent with the available indicators. The main expectation is therefore an entertaining match with opportunities at both ends and only a limited separation between the sides.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
