CF Montreal — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Result
We predicted: BTTS · Verdict: Miss
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.2% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.9% / 30.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.1% / 2.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.9% / 12.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.9% / 84.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CF Montreal and Inter Miami CF appear evenly matched ahead of this MLS meeting, with only a moderate level of confidence in the overall assessment. The available indicators do not point to a clear advantage for either side, making the balance of the contest an important feature. Neither team is established as a definite favourite, so the match could develop through small changes in momentum rather than a sustained superiority from one side.
The scoring outlook is more decisive than the result outlook. This is projected to be a high-scoring encounter, with both CF Montreal and Inter Miami CF likely to find the net. That combination leaves several plausible scorelines, including a draw or a narrow victory for either team. A 1-1 outcome fits the evenly matched assessment, while 1-2 and 2-1 reflect the possibility that one side makes better use of its attacking opportunities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.