CF Montreal — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.2% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.9% / 30.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.1% / 2.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.9% / 12.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.9% / 84.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Nashville SC 0:1
- 17.07.2026 home Toronto FC 0:0
- 24.05.2026 away DC United 4:4
- 16.05.2026 home Chicago Fire 0:2
- 14.05.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home Chicago Fire 3:2
- 25.05.2026 home Philadelphia Union 6:4
- 17.05.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:0
- 14.05.2026 away FC Cincinnati 5:3
- 09.05.2026 away Toronto FC 4:2
This season: CF Montreal at home vs Inter Miami CF away
| Metric | CF Montreal · at home | Inter Miami CF · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 3–2–2 | 7–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.43 | 2.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 78% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 06.07.2025 CF Montreal 1:4 Inter Miami CF
- 29.05.2025 Inter Miami CF 4:2 CF Montreal
- 12.05.2024 CF Montreal 2:3 Inter Miami CF
- 10.03.2024 Inter Miami CF 2:3 CF Montreal
- 28.05.2023 CF Montreal 1:0 Inter Miami CF
- 26.02.2023 Inter Miami CF 2:0 CF Montreal
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CF Montreal and Inter Miami CF appear evenly matched ahead of this MLS meeting, with only a moderate level of confidence in the overall assessment. The available indicators do not point to a clear advantage for either side, making the balance of the contest an important feature. Neither team is established as a definite favourite, so the match could develop through small changes in momentum rather than a sustained superiority from one side.
The scoring outlook is more decisive than the result outlook. This is projected to be a high-scoring encounter, with both CF Montreal and Inter Miami CF likely to find the net. That combination leaves several plausible scorelines, including a draw or a narrow victory for either team. A 1-1 outcome fits the evenly matched assessment, while 1-2 and 2-1 reflect the possibility that one side makes better use of its attacking opportunities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.