Orlando City SC — Nashville SC: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 57.7% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 65.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.8% / 34.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.1% / 75.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 4:0
- 24.05.2026 away FC Cincinnati 2:6
- 17.05.2026 home Atlanta Utd 1:1
- 14.05.2026 home Philadelphia Union 4:3
- 09.05.2026 away CF Montreal 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
- 18.07.2026 home Atlanta Utd 1:0
- 24.05.2026 home New York City 2:1
- 18.05.2026 home Los Angeles FC 3:2
- 14.05.2026 away New England Revolution 3:0
This season: Orlando City SC at home vs Nashville SC away
| Metric | Orlando City SC · at home | Nashville SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| W–D–L | 3–1–3 | 4–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 0.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 14% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 Nashville SC 5:0 Orlando City SC
- 21.09.2025 Orlando City SC 3:2 Nashville SC
- 24.08.2025 Nashville SC 5:1 Orlando City SC
- 01.09.2024 Orlando City SC 3:0 Nashville SC
- 18.07.2024 Nashville SC 0:3 Orlando City SC
- 08.11.2023 Nashville SC 0:1 Orlando City SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Orlando City SC and Nashville SC look evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in that reading. This points to a contest likely to be decided by small details rather than by a pronounced difference in quality.
The match is expected to offer an open attacking rhythm, with both Orlando City SC and Nashville SC likely to find the net. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, underlining the balance between a draw and a narrow victory for either team. With the scoring outlook rated as high, defensive control may be difficult to maintain throughout, so the game could remain competitive and change direction as it develops.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.