Portland Timbers — Real Salt Lake: Win probabilities, 26.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.3% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.2% / 11.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 26.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home FC Dallas 2:2
- 17.07.2026 away Seattle Sounders 5:1
- 24.05.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:3
- 17.05.2026 away Inter Miami 0:2
- 14.05.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:3
- 23.05.2026 away Minnesota United 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Colorado Rapids 2:1
- 14.05.2026 home Houston Dynamo 3:0
- 10.05.2026 away FC Dallas 1:3
This season: Portland Timbers at home vs Real Salt Lake away
| Metric | Portland Timbers · at home | Real Salt Lake · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| W–D–L | 3–2–2 | 1–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.29 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 86% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 Real Salt Lake 2:0 Portland Timbers
- 23.10.2025 Portland Timbers 3:1 Real Salt Lake
- 17.07.2025 Portland Timbers 0:1 Real Salt Lake
- 15.05.2025 Real Salt Lake 0:0 Portland Timbers
- 22.09.2024 Real Salt Lake 3:3 Portland Timbers
- 14.07.2024 Portland Timbers 3:0 Real Salt Lake
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, so the match may be shaped by small details rather than a sustained dominance from either team. Portland will have home conditions in their favour, while Real Salt Lake should enter the contest with a realistic opportunity to take control during periods of open play.
The overall scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That points toward an active match in which defensive stability could be tested, particularly if the game becomes stretched. A draw is a credible possibility, but the balance of the matchup also leaves room for either side to edge a close contest. Expect an open, competitive encounter rather than a game defined by one team’s clear superiority.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.