Samsunspor — Corum FK: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.5% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 56.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.6% / 19.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Samsunspor
13th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Kocaelispor 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:2
- 22.08.2026 away Rizespor 2:0
- 17.08.2026 home Goztep 3:3
- 16.05.2026 home Goztep 3:0
Corum FK
14th place · 4 pts after 4Last 4 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Eyupspor 3:0
- 31.08.2026 away Besiktas 2:6
- 22.08.2026 home Kasimpasa 0:1
- 14.08.2026 away Galatasaray 2:2
This season: Samsunspor at home vs Corum FK away
| Metric | Samsunspor · at home | Corum FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 4.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.60 | 0.61 |
| xG against per match | 1.73 | 2.88 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Samsunspor have a moderate edge over Corum FK in this Super Lig meeting, although the outlook remains relatively balanced. The available assessment points towards protection against an away win, making a Samsunspor victory or draw the more supported overall result. This is not a decisive gap, so the match could remain competitive if Corum FK manage to stay organised and limit the hosts’ attacking opportunities.
The expected character is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 among the plausible scorelines. That range suggests Samsunspor may have enough influence to create a narrow advantage, but not necessarily enough to control the contest throughout. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, leaving the game open to either a close home success or a draw. The central theme is therefore a slight home edge within a match that could be decided by small moments rather than a clear difference between the sides.
What matters before kick-off
Samsunspor team news
Ahead of the match against Çorum FK, Samsunspor press officer Suat Çakır stated that Marius Mouandilmadji and Elayis Tavsan returned to training, while Fatih Kaya, Afonso Sousa, Tanguy Coulibaly, Oskar Ohlenschlaeger, and Jaures Assoumou remain sidelined due to injuries.
Çorum FK's recent result
In round 4, Çorum FK earned a 3-0 home victory over Eyüpspor to secure their first league win of the season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.