Genclerbirligi SK — Kasimpasa Istanbul: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.4% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Genclerbirligi SK
10th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:5
- 28.08.2026 home Erzurumspor 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Goztep 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Fenerbahce 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Trabzonspor 3:0
Kasimpasa Istanbul
12th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Buyuksehyr 1:1
- 22.08.2026 away Corum 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Galatasaray 1:0
This season: Genclerbirligi SK at home vs Kasimpasa Istanbul away
| Metric | Genclerbirligi SK · at home | Kasimpasa Istanbul · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.98 | 0.95 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 0.94 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Genclerbirligi SK 3:2 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 12.12.2025 Kasimpasa Istanbul 0:0 Genclerbirligi SK
- 20.03.2021 Genclerbirligi SK 2:1 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 29.11.2020 Kasimpasa Istanbul 2:0 Genclerbirligi SK
- 29.06.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 0:2 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 24.11.2019 Kasimpasa Istanbul 1:2 Genclerbirligi SK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Genclerbirligi SK meet Kasimpasa Istanbul in the Super Lig on 13 September 2026. The assessment gives Genclerbirligi SK a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the match remains competitive rather than pointing to a decisive home advantage. The available signal favours a home win or draw, leaving Kasimpasa Istanbul with a realistic opportunity to take something from the game.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, but the expectation that both teams will score is finely balanced. That uncertainty is reflected in the main scorelines under consideration: 1:1, 1:0, and 0:0. Overall, the matchup leans toward a narrow result or a draw, with limited separation between the teams and no strong basis for expecting an open, one-sided contest.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability news
Genclerbirligi are without Kevin Rodrigues due to injury. Kasimpasa are missing Thiemoko Diarra, Haris Hajradinovic, Mortadha Ben Ouanes, and Kamil Corekci through injuries.
Recent team results
In their previous fixture prior to this match, Genclerbirligi suffered a 5-0 defeat to Trabzonspor. Kasimpasa played out a 2-2 draw against Amed Sportif.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.