Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Istanbul Basaksehir: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.2% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.6% / 40.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler and Istanbul Basaksehir meet in the Super Lig on 13 September 2026 in a contest that appears evenly matched. The moderate confidence level points to a balanced tactical battle, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The available signal gives Amed Sportif Faaliyetler a slight edge in terms of avoiding defeat, but the gap is narrow and the match remains difficult to separate.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, suggesting a contest with opportunities at both ends without pointing toward an unusually open encounter. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so that aspect offers little firm direction. The most plausible scorelines reflect the uncertainty: 1-1 stands out alongside close wins for either Amed Sportif Faaliyetler or Istanbul Basaksehir. Small details in midfield control, defensive concentration and finishing efficiency may therefore decide the outcome.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.