Eyupspor — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 47.0% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 78.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.90 → now 4.20 |
| W2 | was 1.90 → now 1.80 |
Match preview
Eyupspor host Caykur Rizespor in a Super Lig match that looks competitive but leans toward the visitors. The overall assessment gives Caykur Rizespor a slight edge, with high confidence in that direction, while the X2 signal points away from a clear home victory. Eyupspor should still remain firmly involved in the contest, so the matchup is not expected to be one-sided.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with a reasonable balance between attacking opportunities and defensive control. Both teams scoring is essentially a coin flip, which leaves several plausible paths for the match. A level score is among the likely scenarios, but a narrow Caykur Rizespor win also fits the assessment. Eyupspor’s home advantage keeps the result open, yet Caykur Rizespor appear better placed to avoid defeat and may have the sharper edge in a closely fought encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig matchday 5 fixture
On September 12, 2026, Eyupspor hosts Caykur Rizespor in matchday 5 of the Turkish Super Lig. Eyupspor enter the match with 3 points from their opening four games, while Caykur Rizespor have collected 6 points.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.