Eyupspor — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 47.0% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 78.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Eyupspor
16th place · 3 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Corum 0:3
- 30.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 2:1
- 23.08.2026 home Gaziantep 0:1
- 16.08.2026 away Besiktas 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 3:3
Caykur Rizespor
11th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.09.2026 home Alanyaspor 0:1
- 29.08.2026 away Gaziantep 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Samsunspor 0:2
- 15.08.2026 away Konyaspor 1:0
- 15.05.2026 home Besiktas 2:2
This season: Eyupspor at home vs Caykur Rizespor away
| Metric | Eyupspor · at home | Caykur Rizespor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| xG against per match | 0.91 | 0.71 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.50 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Eyupspor 4:0 Caykur Rizespor
- 13.12.2025 Caykur Rizespor 3:0 Eyupspor
- 20.04.2025 Caykur Rizespor 1:0 Eyupspor
- 23.11.2024 Eyupspor 1:2 Caykur Rizespor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Eyupspor host Caykur Rizespor in a Super Lig match that looks competitive but leans toward the visitors. The overall assessment gives Caykur Rizespor a slight edge, with high confidence in that direction, while the X2 signal points away from a clear home victory. Eyupspor should still remain firmly involved in the contest, so the matchup is not expected to be one-sided.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with a reasonable balance between attacking opportunities and defensive control. Both teams scoring is essentially a coin flip, which leaves several plausible paths for the match. A level score is among the likely scenarios, but a narrow Caykur Rizespor win also fits the assessment. Eyupspor’s home advantage keeps the result open, yet Caykur Rizespor appear better placed to avoid defeat and may have the sharper edge in a closely fought encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig matchday 5 fixture
On September 12, 2026, Eyupspor hosts Caykur Rizespor in matchday 5 of the Turkish Super Lig. Eyupspor enter the match with 3 points from their opening four games, while Caykur Rizespor have collected 6 points.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.