Konyaspor — Trabzonspor: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.5% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 75.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.5% / 38.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.3% / 62.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.0% / 80.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Konyaspor
18th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:4
- 15.08.2026 home Rizespor 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:2
Trabzonspor
4th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Genclerbirligi 5:0
- 31.08.2026 away Amedspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Buyuksehyr 2:1
- 15.08.2026 away Kasimpasa 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:3
This season: Konyaspor at home vs Trabzonspor away
| Metric | Konyaspor · at home | Trabzonspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| xG against per match | 1.15 | 2.13 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.50 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.00 | 7.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.04.2026 Konyaspor 2:1 Trabzonspor
- 29.11.2025 Trabzonspor 3:1 Konyaspor
- 03.03.2025 Konyaspor 1:0 Trabzonspor
- 29.09.2024 Trabzonspor 3:2 Konyaspor
- 03.04.2024 Konyaspor 1:3 Trabzonspor
- 10.11.2023 Trabzonspor 2:1 Konyaspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Konyaspor face Trabzonspor in a Super Lig meeting that looks finely balanced but gives the visitors a slight edge. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, with Trabzonspor rated more likely to avoid defeat than Konyaspor. That advantage is meaningful, although the overall picture does not suggest a one-sided contest.
Both teams are likely to score, which keeps a draw firmly in consideration alongside a Trabzonspor victory. The most plausible scorelines are 1-1, 1-2 and 0-2, reflecting a game in which Konyaspor should have opportunities but may find it difficult to control the match for long periods. Trabzonspor’s stronger outlook makes the visitors the marginally preferable side, while the expected balance of goals points toward an open and competitive encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Trabzonspor entered Matchday 5 following a dominant win
Trabzonspor prepared for their Matchday 5 fixture away to Konyaspor on the back of a 5-0 victory over Gençlerbirliği, in which Paul Onuachu scored twice.
Konyaspor seek to snap a four-game losing streak
The hosts enter the Matchday 5 encounter having lost their first four Süper Lig matches of the season, including a 1-0 away defeat to Erzurumspor in their previous outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.