Saint Louis City SC — Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.6%
Home win
Saint Louis City SC
X
24.5%
Draw
W2
32.9%
Away win
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.5%
Both teams to score
Yes67.7%
Totals 2.5
Over66.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.1% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.4% / 13.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
Goal distribution model
Saint Louis City SC × Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.3%
0:1
4.2%
0:2
4.2%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
5.0%
1:1
10.6%
1:2
7.6%
1:3
4.0%
1:4
1.6%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
5.5%
2:1
8.7%
2:2
6.9%
2:3
3.7%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
3.3%
3:1
5.3%
3:2
4.2%
3:3
2.2%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
1.5%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.6%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.6%
2:18.7%
1:27.6%
2:26.9%
2:05.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.10.2026 away New York Red Bulls 3:0
- 20.09.2026 home Toronto FC 3:1
- 13.09.2026 home Minnesota United 4:2
- 10.09.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:2
- 06.09.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:3
- 27.09.2026 home DC United 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 10.09.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
This season: Saint Louis City SC at home vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC away
| Metric | Saint Louis City SC · at home | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–3–2 | 6–3–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.15 | 2.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 58% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Saint Louis City SC wins1
Draws1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins4
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 06.09.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:3 Saint Louis City SC
- 24.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:2 Saint Louis City SC
- 20.04.2025 Saint Louis City SC 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 14.07.2024 Saint Louis City SC 1:4 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 30.06.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 4:3 Saint Louis City SC
- 05.10.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 Saint Louis City SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.55 → now 2.25 |
| X | was 3.60 → now 3.80 |
| W2 | was 2.45 → now 2.88 |
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.