Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
49.7%
Home win
Columbus Crew
X
23.4%
Draw
W2
26.9%
Away win
Charlotte FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.6%
Both teams to score
Yes66.3%
Totals 2.5
Over66.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.1% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
Goal distribution model
Columbus Crew × Charlotte FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.1%
0:1
3.9%
0:2
3.4%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
5.7%
1:1
10.2%
1:2
6.7%
1:3
3.2%
1:4
1.1%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.5%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
4.3%
3:1
6.1%
3:2
4.4%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
2.1%
4:1
3.0%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.2%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.2%
2:19.3%
1:26.7%
2:26.6%
2:06.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.09.2026 home Inter Miami 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away CF Montreal 2:0
- 13.09.2026 home New York Red Bulls 0:1
- 10.09.2026 away DC United 1:2
- 06.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home Chicago Fire 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away DC United 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:3
- 10.09.2026 away CF Montreal 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:0
This season: Columbus Crew at home vs Charlotte FC away
| Metric | Columbus Crew · at home | Charlotte FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 6–2–6 | 5–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 69% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 69% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Columbus Crew wins2
Draws1
Charlotte FC wins3
Goals per match4.17
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 16.08.2026 Charlotte FC 3:1 Columbus Crew
- 25.05.2025 Charlotte FC 3:2 Columbus Crew
- 04.05.2025 Columbus Crew 4:2 Charlotte FC
- 18.07.2024 Columbus Crew 1:1 Charlotte FC
- 23.03.2024 Charlotte FC 2:0 Columbus Crew
- 04.06.2023 Columbus Crew 4:2 Charlotte FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 3.70 → now 4.00 |
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