Saint Louis City SC — Real Salt Lake: Win probabilities, 02.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.2% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.5% / 33.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.1% / 73.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 home Colorado Rapids 1:0
- 23.07.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 3:1
- 17.07.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 3:2
- 23.05.2026 home Austin FC 3:0
- 17.05.2026 away DC United 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away Portland Timbers 1:2
- 23.07.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:3
- 23.05.2026 away Minnesota United 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Colorado Rapids 2:1
- 14.05.2026 home Houston Dynamo 3:0
This season: Saint Louis City SC at home vs Real Salt Lake away
| Metric | Saint Louis City SC · at home | Real Salt Lake · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 5–1–2 | 1–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 88% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.10.2025 Saint Louis City SC 2:2 Real Salt Lake
- 06.07.2025 Real Salt Lake 3:2 Saint Louis City SC
- 31.03.2024 Real Salt Lake 3:1 Saint Louis City SC
- 25.02.2024 Saint Louis City SC 1:1 Real Salt Lake
- 22.06.2023 Saint Louis City SC 1:3 Real Salt Lake
- 26.03.2023 Real Salt Lake 0:4 Saint Louis City SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Saint Louis City SC have a slight edge over Real Salt Lake in this MLS matchup, with the assessment carrying a high level of confidence. The outlook points toward an open game rather than a cautious contest, as both teams are likely to score. That makes control of transitions and the quality of chances at both ends especially important.
The projected balance still leaves room for several outcomes, with 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2 among the likely scorelines. Saint Louis City SC are marginally better positioned in the overall view, but Real Salt Lake remain capable of producing enough attacking threat to keep the match close. The 1X signal therefore reflects a preference for the hosts avoiding defeat, while recognizing that a draw is a realistic part of the expected range.
What matters before kick-off
Real Salt Lake's Away Winless Streak
Real Salt Lake enters the match against Saint Louis City SC looking to end a six-game winless streak in away matches.
St. Louis City's Winning Streak
St. Louis City enters Saturday's match against Real Salt Lake riding a four-game winning streak in the MLS regular season.
Head-to-Head History
Real Salt Lake holds an all-time record of 3 wins, 1 loss, and 2 draws in six previous head-to-head meetings against St. Louis City SC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.