Saint Louis City SC — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.1% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.8% / 38.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.6% / 60.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.8% / 78.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.4% / 89.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 2:1
- 20.08.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 3:1
- 02.08.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:1
- 26.07.2026 home Colorado Rapids 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 0:5
- 20.08.2026 away Real Salt Lake 4:3
- 17.08.2026 away Austin FC 2:1
- 02.08.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 0:0
- 26.07.2026 away San Diego FC 0:1
This season: Saint Louis City SC at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Saint Louis City SC · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 6–2–2 | 6–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 FC Dallas 1:1 Saint Louis City SC
- 07.09.2025 Saint Louis City SC 1:1 FC Dallas
- 20.07.2025 FC Dallas 3:0 Saint Louis City SC
- 16.06.2024 FC Dallas 2:0 Saint Louis City SC
- 07.04.2024 Saint Louis City SC 0:0 FC Dallas
- 31.08.2023 Saint Louis City SC 2:1 FC Dallas
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Saint Louis City SC have a slight edge over FC Dallas in this MLS meeting, although the moderate level of confidence points to a competitive contest rather than a decisive mismatch. The available assessment supports the hosts avoiding defeat, but FC Dallas remain capable of making the game difficult and influencing the result.
The match is projected to have an open attacking profile, with both teams likely to score. That suggests defensive control may be less important than how effectively each side uses its chances in the final third. A draw is a credible outcome, while Saint Louis City SC have the narrower advantage in the overall evaluation. FC Dallas should still have opportunities, making a balanced and potentially high-scoring encounter the most consistent reading of the available signals.
What matters before kick-off
St. Louis CITY's victory over Houston
Ahead of their match against FC Dallas, St. Louis CITY SC earned a 2-1 victory over Houston Dynamo.
Level on points in Western Conference
St. Louis CITY SC and FC Dallas entered the match level on points in a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.