Columbus Crew — New England Revolution: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.3% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.4% / 90.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Nashville SC 2:3
- 20.08.2026 home CF Montreal 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 02.08.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home FC Cincinnati 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home New York City 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away DC United 3:0
- 16.08.2026 away Toronto FC 1:2
- 08.08.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away CF Montreal 2:2
This season: Columbus Crew at home vs New England Revolution away
| Metric | Columbus Crew · at home | New England Revolution · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–4 | 2–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.04.2026 New England Revolution 2:1 Columbus Crew
- 24.08.2025 Columbus Crew 1:2 New England Revolution
- 02.03.2025 New England Revolution 0:1 Columbus Crew
- 13.10.2024 Columbus Crew 4:0 New England Revolution
- 30.06.2024 New England Revolution 1:5 Columbus Crew
- 05.10.2023 New England Revolution 1:2 Columbus Crew
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Columbus Crew have a slight edge over New England Revolution in this MLS meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available signal favours avoiding a defeat for the hosts, while the range of likely scores points to a closely balanced match rather than a one-sided game.
The scoring outlook is more open, with both teams likely to score. That should make the attacking phases important, particularly if either side takes an early lead and the other is forced to respond. Scores such as 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2 reflect the uncertainty: Columbus Crew hold the narrower advantage, but New England Revolution remain capable of making the match competitive and influencing the result.
What matters before kick-off
Match rescheduled to August 30
The regular season fixture was moved from August 29 to August 30, 2026, to allow Columbus Crew additional travel time following their Leagues Cup quarterfinal against Club América in California.
Daniel Gazdag contract terminated
Columbus Crew mutually agreed to terminate midfielder Daniel Gazdag's contract, freeing up a Designated Player spot on the team's roster.
Recent head-to-head record
New England Revolution have won their last two matches against Columbus Crew, including a 2-1 away victory in Ohio last season and a comeback win at home earlier in 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.