Sabah Masazir — AGF Aarhus: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.5% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.2% / 16.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Sabah Masazir have a slight but meaningful edge over AGF Aarhus in this UEFA Champions League qualification tie. The assessment points toward the hosts avoiding defeat, although the gap between the teams is not large enough to suggest a one-sided contest. Sabah Masazir should have the platform to play proactively, while AGF Aarhus remain capable of creating problems at the other end.
The expected pattern is an open, high-scoring match in which both teams are likely to find the net. That makes the result difficult to separate from the overall attacking balance, with a draw still a credible outcome alongside a narrow home win. Sabah Masazir hold the stronger position in the match outlook, but AGF Aarhus have enough attacking threat to keep the contest competitive throughout.
What matters before kick-off
First leg ended in Aarhus victory
AGF Aarhus secured a 2-1 victory over Sabah in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League third qualifying round tie in Denmark.
Squad availability concerns for Aarhus
AGF Aarhus have Kevin Yakob and Richmond Gyamfi sidelined due to injuries.
Head-to-head history
The first-leg encounter was the first-ever competitive meeting between Sabah and AGF Aarhus.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.