Bodoe/Glimt — Union Saint-Gilloise: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.5% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.7% / 39.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Bodoe/Glimt hold a moderate edge over Union Saint-Gilloise in this UEFA Champions League qualification tie. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring match, with the hosts marginally better placed in the outcome outlook. That advantage appears limited rather than decisive, leaving room for Union Saint-Gilloise to remain competitive across the match.
Both teams are likely to score, which suggests an open contest with opportunities at both ends. Bodoe/Glimt’s potential route to victory may depend on making their home advantage count while managing the spaces created by an attacking approach. Union Saint-Gilloise should still have a realistic chance of affecting the result, particularly if they can convert their opportunities efficiently.
The leading scorelines are 2:1, 1:1 and 2:0, reflecting a slight preference for Bodoe/Glimt but also acknowledging the possibility of a draw. Overall, the game looks more likely to be decided by attacking execution than by a heavily one-sided performance.
What matters before kick-off
First leg ended in a 3-3 draw
The first leg of the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round between Union Saint-Gilloise and Bodø/Glimt ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw in Belgium on August 4, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.