RSC Anderlecht — SV Zulte Waregem: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.0% |
| 12 | 77.2% | |
| X2 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.2% / 16.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.1% / 60.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.4% / 78.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.2% / 89.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X | was 3.75 → now 3.90 |
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht go into this First Division A meeting with a moderate edge over SV Zulte Waregem. The assessment points to a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the hosts having the stronger overall position but not enough separation to dismiss the visitors’ chances. SV Zulte Waregem should have opportunities to remain involved, particularly if they can respond well to the pressure expected from RSC Anderlecht.
The clearest indication is toward an open, high-scoring game in which both teams are likely to find the net. That should create a match with regular attacking phases at both ends, while also leaving room for defensive mistakes to influence the outcome. RSC Anderlecht therefore appear slightly better placed, but the balance of the contest suggests that SV Zulte Waregem can make this a demanding fixture. A narrow home victory is one plausible outcome, although a draw also fits the competitive and open profile of the match.
What matters before kick-off
Midweek European fixture
RSC Anderlecht entered this First Division A match following a 2-1 home defeat against Lyon in the UEFA Europa League, having previously secured a 1-0 win away to KV Mechelen in league play.
Anderlecht squad absences
Ilay Camara, Giulian Biancone, and Killian Sardella are recovering from injuries and miss out for RSC Anderlecht.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.